Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.004599 0.004846 0.005100 0.005382 0.005687 0.006005 0.006365
2025-09-14 0.004113 0.004470 0.004854 0.005300 0.005804 0.006360 0.007022
2025-09-21 0.003857 0.004280 0.004748 0.005308 0.005965 0.006715 0.007647
2025-09-28 0.003557 0.004006 0.004514 0.005136 0.005885 0.006764 0.007891
2025-10-05 0.003401 0.003882 0.004438 0.005133 0.005989 0.007022 0.008386
2025-10-12 0.003317 0.003835 0.004444 0.005221 0.006200 0.007414 0.009064
2025-10-19 0.003181 0.003716 0.004352 0.005179 0.006242 0.007587 0.009464
2025-10-26 0.003065 0.003614 0.004276 0.005149 0.006291 0.007767 0.009877
2025-11-02 0.002957 0.003516 0.004198 0.005110 0.006323 0.007921 0.010258
2025-11-09 0.002915 0.003497 0.004218 0.005196 0.006522 0.008305 0.010981
2025-11-16 0.002831 0.003421 0.004160 0.005176 0.006572 0.008485 0.011420
2025-11-23 0.002752 0.003348 0.004102 0.005151 0.006614 0.008651 0.011844
2025-11-30 0.002659 0.003255 0.004016 0.005085 0.006596 0.008734 0.012151
2025-12-07 0.002568 0.003162 0.003926 0.005011 0.006563 0.008791 0.012421
2025-12-14 0.002515 0.003116 0.003897 0.005019 0.006646 0.009022 0.012978
2025-12-21 0.002403 0.002988 0.003754 0.004860 0.006478 0.008865 0.012895
2025-12-28 0.002354 0.002944 0.003721 0.004856 0.006538 0.009058 0.013399
2026-01-04 0.002337 0.002942 0.003748 0.004938 0.006727 0.009459 0.014283
2026-01-11 0.002281 0.002884 0.003694 0.004900 0.006732 0.009568 0.014668
2026-01-18 0.002230 0.002834 0.003648 0.004872 0.006751 0.009699 0.015100
2026-01-25 0.002180 0.002781 0.003598 0.004836 0.006755 0.009805 0.015491
2026-02-01 0.002169 0.002784 0.003626 0.004916 0.006944 0.010226 0.016499
2026-02-08 0.002128 0.002742 0.003589 0.004896 0.006974 0.010379 0.017010